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Pronóstico electoral Perú is a platform that provides probabilistic forecasts of Peruvian electoral results. It projects final vote tallies and winning probabilities for presidential candidates, such as Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sanchez in a second-round election, by comparing official ONPE data with its own model output. The site reports metrics including projected vote counts, probability percentages, margins, and changes relative to the current official count. It also presents information on uncertainty by tracking pending ballots and JEE-reviewed records, and offers territory-level views across departments, provinces, and districts. The platform describes its methodology and publishes processed forecasts alongside ONPE data cuts.
- Website
- incertidumbreperu.com
- Categories
- Information services, Public policy, Online media